Approval rating drops for Hungary's Fidesz, Jobbik

Each of Hungary’s three main pollsters has published the results of their respective opinion polls for the same month (April), which has been unprecedented since November 2014. This rare coincidence stems from the fact that Tárki switched to a quarterly frequency a little more than a year ago and Ipsos no longer conducts political opinion polls. For that reason we use the data by Závecz Research Institute (ZRI), the new think tank set up by Tibor Závecz who left Ipsos.

Accordingly, we have revisited the monthly readings by Tárki, Medián and Ipsos, adjusting the latter by the figures of ZRI. The average of the three pollsters has given us the following results for the approval rating of the largest parties among eligible voters.

As you can see, the approval ratings of the two most popular parties, Fidesz and Jobbik, have decreased, whereas support for MSZP and DK has increased somewhat. At the same time, none of these changes were large enough to redraw the power lines. The only interesting feature may be that support for DK seems to be growing enough to give the party a fighting chance of making it to Parliament. (The approval ratings gauged among eligible voters are always lower than those gauged among voters with firm party preference.) Green party LMP remains close to the parliamentary threshold (5%), whereas the smaller left-wing parties are practically invisible.

• Tags:
• fidesz,
• median,
• economy,
• jobbik,
• tárki