Hungarian cenbanker pledges no rate change until end-2020

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What we have undertaken is to improve the relative position of the yield curve on the long end, i.e. lower the spread between the local long maturity yields and the yields in the Eurozone and the region - the country risk premium - to a low level and keep it there, the Hungarian central bank’s (MNB) Deputy Governor told business daily Világgazdaság in an interview published on Monday. By this Márton Nagy has reaffirmed the bank’s message from last week, in which it signalled that it does not strive to maintain some fixed yield on the long end of the yield curve, it rather applies a flexible approach to the global yield environment. Several players on the market believe that this marks a change in the MNB’s behaviour compared to its more rigorous stance in 2017.
Márton Nagy stressed that the yield-suppressing impact of the central bank tools is manifested in government security yields or lending rates. Besides swap deals and asset purchases, this is also served by the central bank’s intention to keep the current base rate on hold until the end of 2020 and current BUBOR rates up until the end of 2019, he added.

Nagy added that the MNB had bought 74 billion forints worth of mortgage bonds from domestic banks under the latest iteration of its monetary easing campaign, which also includes new interest rate swaps to curb yields on longer-dated bonds. Nagy hopes that as a result of the tool, banks will be able to finance more and more housing loans with interest rates fixed for longer and longer terms.

The central bank aims to increase the ratio of fixed-rate loans, firstly at new mortgages and then at existing ones. As regards the latter, the question of replacement and bank changes have occurred therefore this is a much more complex tax. There are several cost items and impediments here - the cost of changing lenders could reach HUF 250,000-300,000 in the case of an average mortgage, he added.
 

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