Map shows retreat of coronavirus in Europe

In view of data from the past week, the epidemiological situation in the European Union has improved further, reveals a new map published by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) on Thursday.
Földgömb maszkkal

Every week, the ECDC publishes a map on its Twitter page that colours countries according to the prevalence of coronavirus infections. The positive trend of the past weeks continued to be reflected in last week's data, with the outbreak declining in line with the seasonal pattern.

The map published on 21 April shows this:

ECDC térkép 0421

A week earlier, on 14 April, the map still looked like this:

ECDC térkép 0414

The ECDC notes that areas with a test rate of less than 600 per 100,000 inhabitants are shown in grey. For this reason, Hungary is now grey on the map.

The weekly average of COVID-19 tests in Hungary dropped to 5,851 by Wednesday from 9,214 a week earlier. The pandemic is definitely in retreat, but it's not gone and experts warn it will be back in the autumn. Looking at the track record of Hungarian authorities, we should not expect effective preparations to be made to avoid unnecessary infections and deaths. But maybe, just maybe five 'waves' were enough to draw the right conclusions. We wouldn't bet on it, though.

Given the extremely low number of tests performed, even the longer-term averages and/or their ratios cannot be used as great indicators.


Hungary has now more than 46,000 Covid deaths, which secures the country the fourth place in the world in terms of deaths per one million population, or the third spot if we disregard Bosnia and Herzegovina with a small population of 3.24 million people.

Here's a comparison of the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths for two waves with a 12 months difference.

Here's a chart with the data that really matter (deaths, patients in hospital and on ventilator) for 2022 alone. Despite our best effort to dampen the volatility caused by official reporting practices (i.e. authorites do not Covid numbers on weekends and holidays), there are still zigzags there.

Both of the charts below show the same ratio only for different periods.


And finally, key week-on-week changes in 7-day averages that smoothen the volatility daily figures would cause and are supposed to show when a trend starts to reverse.


Cover photo: Getty Images

More in Economy

July 01, 2022 12:30

WHO warns of "high levels" of COVID-19 in Europe this summer

Cases tripled in the past month

szijjártó péter bejelentés
July 01, 2022 11:51

Russia's Rosatom seen starting Hungarian nuclear plant project in September

Minister hopes all permits will be obtained by then

ipar termelés gyár acélgyár
July 01, 2022 10:23

Hungary business cycle indicator on a roller-coaster ride

Manufacturing characterised by shortages, price hikes, but robust output

orbán viktor miniszterelnök
July 01, 2022 09:30

War zone approaching Hungary faster than we would think - Orbán

PM wants to speed up development of the armed forces

July 01, 2022 08:25

EU seeks to circumvent Hungarian veto on global minimum tax

Legal alternative being sought

June 30, 2022 14:54

Hungary faces massive slowdown, central bank warns

MNB publishes updated forecasts